The Replay — TradifyFX blog
Backtesting method, session breakdowns from real history, and what the data says about the habits that cost traders money.

Psychology
Why you hold losers and cut winners: the disposition effect
The best-documented mistake in trading has a name, a forty-year paper trail, and a fix you can measure in your own journal.
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4
min read

Psychology
Overtrading: what 66,000 accounts taught us about activity
The most active traders in the largest study ever done on individual investors earned a third less than the market. The reason was not skill.
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3
min read

Psychology
Loss aversion: why a small loss feels twice as big as it is
Kahneman and Tversky measured how much more a loss hurts than a gain pleases. The number explains most of what goes wrong after a red trade.
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3
min read

Psychology
Fear, greed and the eleventh minute after a loss
A clinical study of day-traders found the ones who felt their wins and losses most intensely traded worst. What that means for the moments after a red trade.
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3
min read

Psychology
Screen time is not practice: what expertise research says about learning to trade
Thirty years of research on how experts get good agrees on two conditions — and normal trading provides neither of them.
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3
min read

Psychology
Rules you write down beat rules you intend to keep
A meta-analysis of 94 studies found a simple “if this, then that” plan roughly doubles follow-through. Trading rules are exactly that kind of plan.
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3
min read

Backtesting method
How many replay sessions before a strategy means anything?
Sample size, overlapping conditions and the point where results stop moving — without pretending there is a magic number.
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2
min read

Prop challenge prep
The daily-loss rule is the one to rehearse
Most people practise reaching the target. The rule that actually ends attempts is the one that resets every morning.
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3
min read

Psychology
Revenge trading: what shows up when you tag it
The trade after a loss is the most expensive trade most people take. The journal can prove it — but only if you label it.
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2
min read

Session breakdowns
Gold, 15 April 2013: the day the trend didn't wait
The largest one-day fall in gold for three decades, replayed one candle at a time. A lesson in what a "pullback" looks like from the inside.
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3
min read

Backtesting method
Forward-testing on history without fooling yourself
Five ways traders leak future information into a backtest, and how the replay is built to close each one.
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3
min read

Product updates
What has shipped this summer: from 1.0 to 1.10
Session recovery, seconds timeframes, verifiable certificates and a lot of accuracy work. A plain-English tour of the last three months of releases.
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3
min read
